I have a theory about pastors, one that I’ve devised by listening to stories from pastors and church leaders, as well as by reflecting upon my own ministry.
Here’s the theory: I believe that churchgoers and church leaders – especially leaders – want a pastor who is largely predictable.
Because when a pastor is unpredictable, that results in heightened anxiety, and conflict surrounding the pastor may soon surface.
There may even be calls for his dismissal.
Let me give you an example.
Pastor Michael came to Hope Community Church four years ago. He’s known for his solid character, family, and Bible teaching.
There is nothing about Michael that is spectacular, and the church knew that when they called him.
They called a solid senior pastor, not a spectacular one.
It’s kind of an unspoken contract.
But Michael has been enduring some physical and financial stresses recently, and at a recent staff meeting, Michael swore at the associate pastor in front of the rest of the staff and threatened to fire him if he didn’t change his attitude.
Predictable Michael has now become unpredictable.
Realizing what he had done was wrong – and might quickly spread throughout the church – Michael immediately apologized to the staff, and especially to the associate pastor.
In fact, after the staff meeting, Michael and the associate left the church campus and met privately at a nearby coffee shop.
Michael’s outburst will get around the church. It won’t reach the ears of even half the people, but some will start looking for signs that Michael isn’t always the solid guy he seems to be.
And for Michael, his unplanned verbal explosion could be the beginning of the end of his ministry at Hope Church.
Many Christians know that Paul lays out the qualifications for spiritual leaders in 1 Timothy 3:1-13 and Titus 1:5-9.
Most Bible teachers believe that Paul’s overarching qualification for spiritual leadership is that a man needs to be “above reproach” (1 Timothy 3:2) or “blameless” (Titus 1:6,7). Paul then expands upon what he means by those terms.
But in my mind, Paul is also saying that spiritual leaders need to be predictable in their character.
There was a man in my first church (I’ll call him Nathan) who was on the church board, and I was always anxious around him because of his temper.
He could explode at any time for any reason.
At a midweek Bible study, he once disagreed with something I said, yelled at me, stood up, left the room and slammed the door behind him.
Another time, he stood up in a public meeting and reamed out a woman, the wife of a fellow leader.
Nathan was anything but predictable … and that carried over to his home life as well, because just a few months after I came to the church, Nathan’s wife announced that she was divorcing him … and I had to ask him to step down from the board.
It was his second divorce.
Who was going to approach Nathan for counseling or prayer? He was too volatile.
And what’s sad is that for much of his life, Nathan had been a pastor.
Paul told Timothy that an overseer must be “temperate, self-controlled … not violent but gentle, not quarrelsome …”
Yet I have never believed that the qualifications Paul mentions refers to a person’s past history.
Who hasn’t been out of control on occasion? Who hasn’t been less than gentle? Who hasn’t loved money a little too much?
But I do believe these qualities refer to a person’s present character, which means that God wants spiritual leaders to be consistent, dependable, yes, and predictable.
Let me make five quick observations about pastors and predictability:
First, the way a pastor acts, speaks, and responds during his first few years sets the template for the rest of his ministry.
If the pastor responds to criticism with a calm spirit his first few years, people will expect that same spirit for the remainder of his tenure.
If the pastor responds to emails within an hour of receiving them, people will expect that practice will continue.
If the pastor works hard his first few years, people will expect that same work ethic.
I became a youth pastor at age nineteen. My pastor … who later became my father-in-law … told me that if I worked hard my first year at the church, no one would ever question how hard I worked again.
He was right.
People want a pastor whose responses they can predict. They will be more likely to listen to his sermons … follow his leadership … and ask for his counsel if they know what kind of person they’re dealing with upfront.
Second, even though churchgoers may prefer a predictable pastor, it’s wise for a pastor to be unpredictable at times.
In my last church, I carefully scripted my sermons because I had a few critics who were ready to pounce on anything I said that deviated from their norm.
After several critics eventually left the church, I felt more freedom to be myself, and on occasion, I would engage in an unplanned rant … and those little rants were often the best part of the sermon.
As Presbyterian pastor Stephen Brown used to say, “When in doubt … say it.” It was his belief that the ideas that popped into a pastor’s head during the sermon would be the ones the congregation remembered best.
They can also get you into trouble … believe me, I know … but at least you’re being interesting.
In other words, even though people prefer a predictable pastor, the pastor shouldn’t allow himself to be put in a box or he’ll never be able to lead the church forward.
Third, only a pastor’s character need be predictable.
Those verses in 1 Timothy and Titus refer to a leader’s inner being.
They don’t say anything about a pastor’s appearance … education … leadership style … or sermons.
Sometime after my daughter Sarah was born, I started growing a beard. It was the fashion in the early 1980s, and even though I’m usually years behind the trends, it was as simple as not shaving.
One Sunday, a woman stopped me after the service and asked me, “You’re not growing a beard, are you?”
Because my appearance was becoming unpredictable … thus making her anxious … she felt she had a right to vote on the matter.
And yet, several years later, when I shaved off that beard, Sarah cried and cried. She only knew her dad with a beard! (Sarah stuck a photo of me and her on Facebook for Father’s Day … and there was that beard again.)
As pastors grow spiritually … as they take continuing education … as they read more extensively … as they take risks as leaders … and as they change the structure of their sermons … they will become less predictable, and cause some people anxiety.
What’s important is to acknowledge any changes and explain them to the congregation so that calm believers can help the nervous ones to cope.
Fourth, when a pastor’s character becomes less predictable, he may be headed for termination.
When people think they know who a pastor is deep inside … and he acts in ways that throw them off balance … some may call for his removal.
One of America’s best-known pastors once bought a second house in a resort community. He had a steady income from his writings and probably felt it was a good investment.
But when some people in the church heard about that home, they turned on him, and he began to receive an increasing amount of criticism.
Although I’m not aware that anyone called for his dismissal, the criticism was a factor in his leaving the church after a long and successful tenure.
Let’s say that a pastor has some financial difficulties in the first year of his ministry. If he has financial difficulties in his fifth and ninth years as well, it won’t be a shock to key leaders because he’s already set a pattern.
But if his finances have been pristine for eight years, and he gets into financial trouble in his ninth year, some leaders may be shocked … and disappointed … and begin talking about getting a new pastor.
Finally, our Savior could be jarringly unpredictable.
Jesus was anything but predictable. While His character was God-honoring, His methodology, language, and style were always changing.
For example, if you read the Gospels with fresh eyes, you won’t be able to guess what Jesus says or does in any given situation.
Mark Galli wrote a book a few years ago called Jesus Mean and Wild. I thought it was a great book and that it explodes many of the inaccurate ways we view Jesus today.
Jesus never healed people with the same methods. One time, He would speak a word, and a sick person would be made well. Another time, He would touch someone and they’d be whole.
Jesus’ words weren’t predictable, either. He said the most memorable things … easy to recall … yet His pithy sayings were full of meaning. Love your enemies? No man can serve two masters? Don’t cast your pearls before swine?
While Jesus’ unpredictability makes for fascinating reading, few Christians today would want Him as their pastor!
They’d rather have someone they can control.
But I believe that pastors need to have characters that are predictable but ministries that are unpredictable.
Just like Jesus.
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